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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on July 18, 2007 9:39 AM. The previous post in this blog was What does Hillary stand for?. The next post in this blog is The Sicko effect. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Tick tick tick

We're starting to see the seams of the City of Portland's finances. The city's in a transportation crisis -- without new taxes, Sam the Tram tells us, our roads will be ever more dangerous and people will die. Meanwhile, the city continues to borrow tens of millions after tens of millions to slap up new infrastructure for the condo jungles. It also finds multi-million-dollar "surpluses" to spend on frills while holding workshops about the lack of funds for basic functions.

How long will it be before fundamental financial problems become apparent? It seems to me that it will come soon -- soon after the next mayoral election, perhaps. You can only play games with your debt for so long before it comes home to bite you. And there's a clear trend emerging toward stricter accountability in municipal finance -- which is bad news for spendthrift cities like Portland.

We've already blogged here about a new set of rules under which the city will have to report more squarely its future obligations to pay for retirees' health care. Commenters pointed out that Portland actually doesn't provide too much in that area, and so maybe that's a bullet dodged.

But since that post, another set of rules has been unveiled that could change radically how the city reports its massive pension liabilities to police and firefighters. As in, change it from denial to stark reality. The city's voters recently voted to put a band-aid over this gushing artery, but if the true picture starts to show up prominently on the city's financial statements, watch out. The new rules, known to the bean counters as GASB 50, are effective for the fiscal year that just began a couple of weeks ago. That means you won't actually see the impact on the financials until the June 30, 2008 set, which won't be released until after the new mayor is sworn in in early 2009.

Today comes another brick in the wall -- the head of the Securities and Exchange Commission is telling Congress that municipal finance reporting is currently so scary that the board which regulates that field -- the Government Accounting Standards Board -- needs to be given new powers.

The City Hall types around the country are screaming just the opposite. They want the GASB disbanded altogether. They don't like an oversight board telling them how to prepare their books. They do like borrowing money, though -- there is something like $2.4 trillion in municipal bonds outstanding these days (no joke).

I do hope that Congress is smart enough to heed the SEC chief's warnings. And I can't wait for the day when the average person in Portland realizes what's been done, and continues to be done, to the city's finances. I'm sure Sam the Tram will have somebody else to blame it on -- probably someone who will be dead by then.

Comments (16)

I waiting to see the "perp walks" from city hall.

I read $75 million per year is now being diverted from CoP general fund property taxes to repay the Urban Renewal schemes that keep on growing. This abused municipal credit card demands replacement revenue for the basic services it vanquishes.
How perfect is the cover up when city officials are telling the public they have a surplus while at the same time brainstorming over how to deal with a funding crisis.
Sam et al are simply dishonest. Somewhere along the line dishonesty became an acceptable form of leadership.
Stunningly too many people are willing to accept it as a neccessary evil and/or live in denial.

Meanwhile American Steel relocates from Portland to Canby to save 25% on property taxes, not to mention the Business Income Tax which it can virtually avoid altogether.

Why don't we just hand our paychecks over to those who know so much better than us? They'll give us free health-care, aerial trams, and trains. With any luck, they'll determine how much sugar, starch, and other stuff we need, and cut us a check for the appropriate amount.

The name "Porkland" is most fitting, no?

KarenI read $75 million per year is now being diverted from CoP general fund property taxes to repay the Urban Renewal schemes that keep on growing.
JK:
Here is the proof:

For 2006-07, total taxes imposed for urban renewal agencies in Multnomah County are $74,804,051, an increase of 12.3% over the $66,629,914 imposed in 2005-06. Of this total amount, $60,289,219 came from division of tax calculations while the imposed special levy for PDC’s five Existing Plan Areas increased to $14,514,833 from $14,470,944 in 2005-06. The total amount imposed for PDC, $73,547,737, represents more than 98.3% of the total urban renewal taxes imposed in Multnomah County for 2006-07.

From page 47 of: http://www.co.multnomah.or.us/orgs/tscc/graphics/06-07annualreport.pdf

Thanks
JK

Get rid of the condo owners tax abatement........30 million a year, exactly what we need to fund the street repairs, ironic....I think not!

It is getting pretty hard for a municipal bond lender to actually claim that they are deceived. If they are dissatisfied with the certainty of repayment of "moral obligation" bonds then they are free to discount morality to zero and let the real-party-in-interest recipients of graft (and tax code distortions) supply their hard collateral. Treat it like private debt, without sloppy government guarantees. How novel?

If private GASB is converted mid-stream into a body that can pierce the state 11th Amendment immunity then one thing that must be addressed is that it must only apply to deals that are not yet on the books. (See boring contract clause arguments.)

If state government (by way of municipal subdivisions) shall be forced to use taxing power to buy private investments that are traded on private (open and nonopen) equity exchanges then we should just create our own non-New-York non-London stock exchange and confine the investments to entities that are at least 51 percent owned by Oregonians; and perhaps coupled with a limit on the size of the entities to 25 million in market capitalization.

Let Giuliani (et al) shoot himself and his client list in the foot, provided that local yokels respond with equal self-interested vigor. If we must live with graft then let the beneficiaries be local rather than distant. With a JP Morgan plant on the board of the Institute of Internal Auditors whom do you suppose they are supposed to serve, particularly given the astroturfing about financial accountability coupled with their "ethical" fidelity to stuff like GASB. I'd be more likely to do a 40 year actuarial funding calculation from the perspective of citizens -- and aggregate it -- and conclude that our public bonding capacity is so low that the lenders would scream at the loss of interest payment business derived from local taxing power and NOTHING ELSE. Who's deceiving who?

What he said.

Hahaha.

Does anyone (pdxnag?) know who buys Portland's bonds?

Here are pictures of some trustees of a fund that buys only Oregon bonds (for resale to little folks and big folks alike). Someone's interest in a piece of the fund can be used as collateral to buy more of the same, creating a nice leveraging device . . . particularly useful within Oregon Commercial Banks in tandem with HUD-related projects.

I am in the business of making enemies in high places. Care to join me?

C'mon, you know govt account doesn't have a clue want GAAP is, much less spell it.

You get the money and just spend it. Even if it means you are hiring more people you can never lay off. Then when the next downturn comes, you cry you need a new tax.

You finance necessities last (schools/police/roads) and you always have the excuse there isn't enough money.

You start a project without financing, turn one spade of soil and say we can't stop now we have too much invested.

We build 1 mile of streetcar line and then we "need" another 50 miles.

We have to spend $1M because we will get $1M of fed money.

Is there a pattern here?

PS - WHoever the other Steve is, he's scaring me how much he sounds like me. I guess I should listen to myself some time.

I was at a securities conference in Portland last year where the head of SEC enforcement was talking about going after municipalities (I think the San Diego incident had just made news that week) with greater frequency. In fact, I seem to remember a link from this blog to her announcement of the San Diego incident.

I wonder if another step is to get rid of the registration exemptions for bond issues from municipalities. I can't see how they are justified from an investor perspective anymore.

Portland's financial situation and debt are so troubling, Moody's responded to the crisis in April...by upgrading their bond rating to Aa2.

Disaster!

torridjoe,

Sugar refiners in Hispaniola, in a bygone era, went to extraordinary lengths to answer the concerns of the money lenders. I hope your view of Economic Development is not to increase production with more of the same? It was/is profitable, for some. Please pick a more qualitative yardstick.

Portland's financial situation and debt are so troubling, Moody's responded to the crisis in April...by upgrading their bond rating to Aa2.

They liked San Diego bonds, too... for a while.

Those bond agencies are actually hired by the cities they're reviewing. Sometimes that gets in the way of their objectivity.

Kind of like a city fire department employee posting blog comments from his desk.

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Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
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Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
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Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
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Haden Fig, Pinot Noir 2009
Vega Montan, Mencia 2008
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Mount Defiance, Hellfire (White) 2008
Root: 1, Cabernet 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Pinot Grigio 2009
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 White, 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 Rose, 2007
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Avia Cabernet 2004
Lemelson Pinot Noir, Thea's Selection 2007
Chateau de la Roulerie, Rose d'Anjou 2009
Casal Garcia, Vinho Verde Rose
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Cana's Feast, Bricco Red, 2006
Hogue, Genesis Merlot, 2008
Owen Roe, Sharecropper's Cabernet, 2008
Kim Crawford, Unoaked Chardonnay 2008
J. Scott, Pinot Noir 2008
Edmunds St. John, White, Heart of Gold 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2006
Stevenot, Cabernet, Sierra Foothills, "Stanford" 2000
Portuga, Vinho Rose 2009
Taylor Fladgate, First Estate Reserve Porto
Franciscan, Cabernet, Napa 2006
Chaparral de Vega Sindoa, Garnacha 2008
Quinta da Aveleda, Vinho Verde 2008
St. Francis, Chardonnay Sonoma 2008
E. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Blanc, 2007
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Noir 2008
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Domaine du Pesquier, Cotes du Rhone 2005
Cantina Zaccagnini, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2006
Domaine Matrot, Chardonnay, Bourgogne 2007
David Hill, Oregon Sparkling Wine, Brut
Chandler Reach, Monte Regalo 2006
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2008
Kirkland, Columbia Valley Merlot 2008
D'Aragon, Old Vine Garnacha 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2005
Pavin & Riley, Merlot 2006
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Castle Rock, Paso Robles Cabernet 2006
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Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
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Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
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Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
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David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
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David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

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