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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on November 21, 2007 1:25 AM. The previous post in this blog was Old home week. The next post in this blog is Fascinating question. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Wednesday, November 21, 2007

In dogged pursuit

One thing you should never do when you're engaged in sporting competition is show disgust for the game you're playing, just because you're getting your butt whipped. Over the last two weeks, I fear, my despair at my bad performance in the NFL Underdog Pool may have caused me to lapse into that mode. I meant no disrespect with my new methodology for picking a winner from among the week's underdogs, but the tepid response from readers last week tells me that I may have been perceived that way. (BTW, Bill the Cat didn't pick a winner either week he played, although he came close, and now he's too busy to think about football.)

Anyhow, I'm not giving in to negativity -- no way! Game on! I'm not mathematically eliminated yet, and there are a couple of spectacular point spreads on the board this week that could conceivably put me right back in the hunt for the season title.

And so today I ask readers to play along with me on two levels. First, if (like me) you had to pick from among Philadelphia, Miami, the Jets, or Atlanta, which of those hopeless cases would you pick to win their game outright?

Then, on Level 2 (back to our good sport mode), pick one underdog from any game, even one in which the oddsmakers say the outcome will be closer.

Remember, on both levels, the 'dog you pick (in caps below) has to win its game outright -- the point spreads are there only to show how many points a winning team will rake in for a player who picks that team.

Also, please note, if you're picking a game that's being played tomorrow, you've got to make the call today!

22 PHILADELPHIA at New England
16 MIAMI at Pittsburgh
14 NEW YORK JETS at Dallas (Thursday)
12 ATLANTA vs. Indianapolis (Thursday)
10 SAN FRANCISCO at Arizona
9 BALTIMORE at San Diego
7.5 BUFFALO at Jacksonville
7.5 MINNESOTA at New York Giants
5.5 OAKLAND at Kansas City
3.5 HOUSTON at Cleveland
3 CAROLINA vs. New Orleans
3 ST. LOUIS vs. Seattle
3 DETROIT vs. Green Bay (Thursday)
3 WASHINGTON at Tampa Bay
2 DENVER at Chicago
1 CINCINNATI vs. Tennessee

Give me a longshot, or any shot. I still need, and want, your help. I'm also sending a shout out to this guy.

Comments (14)

Long shot: Raiders over Chiefs. Hey, on any given Sunday.....

my picks to win (and beat the spread):

9 BALTIMORE at San Diego
5.5 OAKLAND at Kansas City
3.5 HOUSTON at Cleveland
3 WASHINGTON at Tampa Bay
2 DENVER at Chicago
1 CINCINNATI vs. Tennessee

In order

5.5 OAKLAND at Kansas City - KC doesn't have a RB.

9 BALTIMORE at San Diego - SD seemes to be neglecting Tomlinson, so hopefully the pattern continues and Balt and can cover them. I just hope they can put a TD.

2 DENVER at Chicago - Hoping Denver has one of its good days.

I second the motion for Raiders over the "Chefs", in spite of growing up in the distant shadows of Arrowhead Stadium. KC may be playing with a naked backfield this Sunday with todays news that Priest Holmes is now out for the game, as well as Larry Johnson. Not such a long shot...5.5 points for Jack.

Happy Thanksgiving.

Hehe...the Chefs! I second that as a good level 2 upset pick.

For your home run, I think I gotta go with Miami. Pitt is banged up, and the Phins are playing their superbowl every week at this point.

You serious? The top four are locks. But if there is a crack in the armor, let's go with PHILLY at New England. How long can that streak go on? Outside the box, SF (new offensive assistant)(rehash of the Dennis E. era) might throw some new plays into the mix. They'll beat the Cardinals.

Add my vote to Oakland over the Chiefs. They are long time AFC rivals; and I'm sure they would like to win this one after their recent loss.
Also, Buffalo over Jacksonville. Sure they looked bad against the Patriots; but so does almost everyone else. Besides, they are playing in a division where New England has a lock on the playoff spot and they can potentially beat everyone else in their division.

Thanks for the input, people. Keep it coming.

Locks? Oh come now, Joey gets his job back this weekend. Look for Atlanta to come alive.

Actually, I think think Detroit has a shot over GB. The Lions are always tough at home especially on Thanksgiving. How long can Favre keep doing it all himself?

16 MIAMI at Pittsburgh
9 BALTIMORE at San Diego
2 DENVER at Chicago

Miami is unrealistic - but entirely possible. Baltimore, I believe is likely. Denver is surprising that they are even the underdog. Oh, my poor Bears. It was a fun game to go down to Seattle from Juneau last weekend though.

There is not really the faintest odor of a winner from your desperation group. If I had to I'd go with Philly. In the middle group I'd go with Oakland and the pick I really like is Washington. Now, if your cat is not busy Friday night I'd like to take him with me to La Center for a little blackjack.

According to espn.com, there is a very good chance that McNabb won't be playing this weekend.

Picks in bold. Of course, the following are provided AS IS, w/no warranty whatsoever:

10 SAN FRANCISCO at Arizona
SFO: This one is a real tosser; a match-up of two teams who are inconsistent at best.

5.5 OAKLAND at Kansas City
KC: OAK can't get out of their own way this season no matter how bad KC is (and I'm usually a Raiders fan)

3 CAROLINA vs. New Orleans
CAR: Panthers already beat NO this season as a visitor. Could get back on track with this as a home game.

3 ST. LOUIS vs. Seattle
STL: Sorry Seahawk fans, but Seattle's road record is dismal

2 DENVER at Chicago
DEN: Broncos looked decent last Monday night and the Bear's home record is pathetic.

Well, I suppose Miami could still beat Pittsburgh. I'll always be fine with calling it wrong when I say the Bears will lose. Devin Hester, you are ridiculous.

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In Vino Veritas

Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
Cameron, Chardonnay
B.R. Cohn, Cabernet, Silver Label 2006
Graffigna, Cabernet 2005
Palo Alto, Reserve Red 2008
Menguante, Garnacha 2008
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Felsina Berardenga, Vin Santo 1997
Anne Amie, Pinot Gris 2009
McKinley Springs, Bombing Ramge Red 2007
Vieux Papes Red
Dionysius Chardonnay 2009
Haden Fig, Pinot Noir 2009
Vega Montan, Mencia 2008
Chateau la Vernede, Coteaux du Languedoc 2007
Mount Defiance, Hellfire (White) 2008
Root: 1, Cabernet 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Pinot Grigio 2009
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 White, 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 Rose, 2007
Abacela, Grenache Rose 2009
Avia Cabernet 2004
Lemelson Pinot Noir, Thea's Selection 2007
Chateau de la Roulerie, Rose d'Anjou 2009
Casal Garcia, Vinho Verde Rose
La Ferme Julien, Rose 2008
Cana's Feast, Bricco Red, 2006
Hogue, Genesis Merlot, 2008
Owen Roe, Sharecropper's Cabernet, 2008
Kim Crawford, Unoaked Chardonnay 2008
J. Scott, Pinot Noir 2008
Edmunds St. John, White, Heart of Gold 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2006
Stevenot, Cabernet, Sierra Foothills, "Stanford" 2000
Portuga, Vinho Rose 2009
Taylor Fladgate, First Estate Reserve Porto
Franciscan, Cabernet, Napa 2006
Chaparral de Vega Sindoa, Garnacha 2008
Quinta da Aveleda, Vinho Verde 2008
St. Francis, Chardonnay Sonoma 2008
E. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Blanc, 2007
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Noir 2008
St. Innocent, Pinot Noir 2006
Jigsaw, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot, Indian Wells 2007
Charles Shaw, Chardonnay 2008
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Rosé 2009
Cameron, Willamette Valley Chardonnay
Il Valore, Sangiovese, Giovane, Puglia 2008
Duck Pond, Chardonnay, Wahluke Slope 2007
Kim Crawford, Marlborough Pinot Noir 2008
Domaine du Pesquier, Cotes du Rhone 2005
Cantina Zaccagnini, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2006
Domaine Matrot, Chardonnay, Bourgogne 2007
David Hill, Oregon Sparkling Wine, Brut
Chandler Reach, Monte Regalo 2006
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2008
Kirkland, Columbia Valley Merlot 2008
D'Aragon, Old Vine Garnacha 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2005
Pavin & Riley, Merlot 2006
David Hill, Estate Pinot Noir, Barrel Select 2006
Castle Rock, Paso Robles Cabernet 2006
Magnificent, Cabernet, Steak House 2008
Conundrum 2008
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Saint Cosme, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
La Granja, Tempranillo 360, 2008
Santa Rita, Mendalla Real Cabernet 2006
Columbia Crest, Grand Estates Merlot 2006
Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
Collegiata, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo
Troon, Druid's Fluid 2008
La Granja, Tempranillo 2008
Monte Antico, Toscana 2006
Vieux Papes, Blanc de Blancs

The Occasional Book

Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 26
At this date last year: 15
Total run in 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
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