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This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on March 28, 2008 3:24 AM. The previous post in this blog was Is one enough?. The next post in this blog is Go back to sleep. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

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Friday, March 28, 2008

Wheeler recall just around the corner

Multnomah County Chair Ted Wheeler may just get his butt run out of office for some of the crazy stunts he's pulling now. Get a load of this:

The county was blessed with higher-than-expected property and business income taxes this year, before the economy slowed. That, plus unspent reserves, is expected to provide $35 million in "one-time" money for 2008-09.

"We’ll take a majority of the one-time money and use it to pay down our debt," Wheeler said. That would reduce the county’s ongoing funding shortfall, he reasoned.

Did he say pay down debt?!! Obviously, he does not belong in government anywhere near Portlandia.

Pay down debt? With all the neighborhoods still served by neither streetcars nor condo towers, and a wonderful convention center languishing without a headquarters hotel? Buildings all over town without eco-roofs? Executives at Hoffman Construction taking home a mere high six figures?

Pay down debt? What about that new David Douglas school? And for the love of God, Ted, what about the doulas?

Come to your senses, man! Or you'll be back working a real job in the private sector faster than you can say "Measure 50 compression."

Comments (26)

Which begs the question: how does a municipality dependent on property taxes fare in the WORST HOUSING MARKET SINCE 1932?

The NW may be holding up better than California and Nevada, but I would assume our real estate downturn lasts longer than theirs.

What happens when property tax collections drop?

Must have forgotten the "tax and spend" part of his party pledge.

Sellwood Bridge?

Which begs the question: how does a municipality dependent on property taxes fare in the WORST HOUSING MARKET SINCE 1932?

Well, based on my property tax statement, the assessed value is less than 2/3 of the "real market value". The "real" value is going to have to drop by a third before I could challenge the assessed value. I know, it *may* happen, but I doubt it.

"property tax collections"

When has that ever happened? You would have to individaully have each person ask for a re-assessment and they drag their feet on that.

Mr Wheeler has my vote for life. Finally someone who thinks about paying off the credit card insted of just raising the credit line!

I just pray to God that the City Council doesn't find a way to finagle that money and put it towards one of their pet projects.

Which begs the question: how does a municipality dependent on property taxes fare in the WORST HOUSING MARKET SINCE 1932?

I hate to break this to you but a houses value has had NOTHING to do with your property tax bill since Measure 5 passed in the mid 90's. MCO tax department doesn't even have any property appraisers anymore. They laid them all off years ago. Propoerty taxes are based on an mathematical formula, written by Bill Sizemore. It gives big tax breaks to those entities that own property for a long time. The longer the better. Hint what entity "owns" property for a long time? Your right a corporation. So long as it stays in business it never dies.

Greg C

MCO tax department doesn't even have any property appraisers anymore.

That should be an interesting topic of conversation tonight when I have dinner with two of the appraisers from the Multco A&T staff.

That should be an interesting topic of conversation tonight when I have dinner with two of the appraisers from the Multco A&T staff.

Yes I would be interested in hearing about them. Please ask them how much time they spend looking at property. Ask them how many of them there now are as opposed to say 1994. In fact ask them how much time they spend working on existing property at all.

Yes MCO has a few appraisers left. They spend their time looking at construction plans for new buildings and analyzing appeals from commercial property owners who cliam their taxes are too high. But I don't think they look at existing property at all as your property taxes on your home are decided by formulas that have very little if any relationship to the actual value of your home. Just as Bill write it.

Greg C

PMG, don't tell your appraiser friends that they don't exist until they've paid their part of the check.

Never mind... appraisers in MCO never pay for their dinners. In that case, better just tell them that this dinner never happened, and that envelope of cash on the table doesn't exist.

Actually, I think they spend a bit of time doing physical inspections of residential property matched up with building permit records for remodeling/additions. I *think* that's the only way a home's assessed value can increase above the 3% limit.

Never mind... appraisers in MCO never pay for their dinners. In that case, better just tell them that this dinner never happened, and that envelope of cash on the table doesn't exist.

Ooh, snarky. And I'm not even a developer and don't live or own property in Multnomah County...

Greg,
A county appraiser came to our house shortly after we bought last year, and I've heard of others having similar visits.
-R

Hey, Wheeler is a frequent 'get' and good-buddy boob for LIARS Larson. No sweat on recall, LIARS'll save him.

The various MCO departments have their eyes on this money. If you have the time to poke at it, you can see the program offers from each department at http://www2.co.multnomah.or.us/aspnet/budgetwebFY09/MainScreen.aspx
Some of them have OneTimeOnly in the detail -- that seems to indicate ones that are not for ongoing business but special things they'd like to get while there's some surplus.

They submit these things to Wheeler's office and he figures out what he will propose as his final budget. Some departments were requested to submit reduced budgets (at least that's the rumor) while others were not...

PMG: Actually, I think they spend a bit of time doing physical inspections of residential property matched up with building permit records for remodeling/additions.

They also go out "cold calling" homes that have a recently sold and have a relatively high sales price compared to RMV. I have first-hand experienxce of this.

I *think* that's the only way a home's assessed value can increase above the 3% limit.

That's one way, but not the only one. If they suspect unpermitted remodeling/additions activity after M50 increased the value around 1996 (not my situation, by the way), they guess. Then it's up to the homeowner to appeal and prove them wrong.

Property tax COLLECTIONS are different from assessments. If people are falling behind on their mortgage payments, I'll bet the past due payments at Multco Property Tax office skyrocket.

And less new construction and new sales (think empty condos) means fewer new properties joining the tax rolls.

Next time an appraiser comes to my door, I'll just tell him/her that "you don't exist."

Oregon's property tax system is a bit confusing, and widely misunderstood. Measure 5 set a cap on the ratio of property taxes to Real Market Value: $5/$1000 RMV for general government services and $10/$1000 RMV for education. Measure 5 did not disconnect AV from RMV. It was Bill Sizemore's Measure 47 that did that. M47 rolled back the AV to what it was 2 years prior to passage of M47, and capped AV increases at 3% per year. It also stipulated that AV of new development would be set at the same ratio to RMV as the aggregate AV/RMV county-wide. Property values have risen astronomically since passage of M47, and your AV is now a much smaller fraction of your RMV than it was pre M47. If property values fall far enough, we may see tax collections constrained by taxpayers challenging their RMV, and thus limiting their tax payments to the $15 limit established with Measure 5. I actually did this several years ago - with a new appraisal in hand from a mortgage refinance. Only cut my bill by about $100, but gratifying to beat the County tax man nonetheless. Thought I'd try and clear things up a bit, hope it's clearer than mud now.

Correction to the above: $10/$1000 RMV general govt & $5/$1000 RMV education - too many beers tonight to get it right the first time. My apologies.

" ... your AV is now a much smaller fraction of your RMV than it was ...."

Should that be/did you mean: The difference of AV from RMV, 'is now a much smaller fraction of RMV'? Or that is, equivalently, the AV -over- RMV fraction is getting bigger, approaching unity of one point zero?

Maybe my thinking is upside down with the idea that AV is (historically) less than RMV, so, AV -over- RMV a fraction less than 1.

For the past several years the rate of increase in RMV has exceeded the rate of increase in AV (AV increase limited by M47 to 3%) So the "fraction" AV/RMV is a lot smaller than it used to be. I'm sober now, so I'm pretty sure I stated this correctly.

Tenskwatawa - I'm guessing you don't actually listen to Lars Larson if you think he and Wheeler are good buddies. Larson bashes Wheeler on a regular basis.

Jack,

What do you think the possibility is for Portland to have a "San Diego" style default?

How close are we to something like that, and what would be the tipping point? How close are we to Portland's debt simply melting down?

The seeming "facts" spewed on this comment thread by the likes of Greg C and Tentsy are quite amusing. You guys need to get your facts straight.

I too have had Multco appraisers "visit" (leaving their business cards stuck in my front door and asking that we call them to discuss value) both of the homes I've owned since living in Portland - both Hollywood District and Irvington.

You CANNOT tell me they are not present, because they simply ARE. However, my response has been to NOT call them and INDEED to pretend they don't exist.

This inability to go on hard, cold facts is just so typical of libs...

Shouldn't we plan some sort of celebration in honor of Opie's departure from Mayberry?

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In Vino Veritas

Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
Cameron, Chardonnay
B.R. Cohn, Cabernet, Silver Label 2006
Graffigna, Cabernet 2005
Palo Alto, Reserve Red 2008
Menguante, Garnacha 2008
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Felsina Berardenga, Vin Santo 1997
Anne Amie, Pinot Gris 2009
McKinley Springs, Bombing Ramge Red 2007
Vieux Papes Red
Dionysius Chardonnay 2009
Haden Fig, Pinot Noir 2009
Vega Montan, Mencia 2008
Chateau la Vernede, Coteaux du Languedoc 2007
Mount Defiance, Hellfire (White) 2008
Root: 1, Cabernet 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Pinot Grigio 2009
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 White, 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 Rose, 2007
Abacela, Grenache Rose 2009
Avia Cabernet 2004
Lemelson Pinot Noir, Thea's Selection 2007
Chateau de la Roulerie, Rose d'Anjou 2009
Casal Garcia, Vinho Verde Rose
La Ferme Julien, Rose 2008
Cana's Feast, Bricco Red, 2006
Hogue, Genesis Merlot, 2008
Owen Roe, Sharecropper's Cabernet, 2008
Kim Crawford, Unoaked Chardonnay 2008
J. Scott, Pinot Noir 2008
Edmunds St. John, White, Heart of Gold 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2006
Stevenot, Cabernet, Sierra Foothills, "Stanford" 2000
Portuga, Vinho Rose 2009
Taylor Fladgate, First Estate Reserve Porto
Franciscan, Cabernet, Napa 2006
Chaparral de Vega Sindoa, Garnacha 2008
Quinta da Aveleda, Vinho Verde 2008
St. Francis, Chardonnay Sonoma 2008
E. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Blanc, 2007
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Noir 2008
St. Innocent, Pinot Noir 2006
Jigsaw, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot, Indian Wells 2007
Charles Shaw, Chardonnay 2008
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Rosé 2009
Cameron, Willamette Valley Chardonnay
Il Valore, Sangiovese, Giovane, Puglia 2008
Duck Pond, Chardonnay, Wahluke Slope 2007
Kim Crawford, Marlborough Pinot Noir 2008
Domaine du Pesquier, Cotes du Rhone 2005
Cantina Zaccagnini, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2006
Domaine Matrot, Chardonnay, Bourgogne 2007
David Hill, Oregon Sparkling Wine, Brut
Chandler Reach, Monte Regalo 2006
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2008
Kirkland, Columbia Valley Merlot 2008
D'Aragon, Old Vine Garnacha 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2005
Pavin & Riley, Merlot 2006
David Hill, Estate Pinot Noir, Barrel Select 2006
Castle Rock, Paso Robles Cabernet 2006
Magnificent, Cabernet, Steak House 2008
Conundrum 2008
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Saint Cosme, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
La Granja, Tempranillo 360, 2008
Santa Rita, Mendalla Real Cabernet 2006
Columbia Crest, Grand Estates Merlot 2006
Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
Collegiata, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo
Troon, Druid's Fluid 2008
La Granja, Tempranillo 2008
Monte Antico, Toscana 2006
Vieux Papes, Blanc de Blancs

The Occasional Book

Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

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