Mount Hood photo courtesy Chris Markes.





Meter updates every 30 seconds. Click here for
an instant update.
Our complete Portland debt series linked here.



Clearance sale
The bojack bumper sticker -- only $1.50!

To order, click here.







Excellent tunes -- free! And on your browser right now. Just click on Radio Bojack!






E-mail us here.

About

This page contains a single entry from the blog posted on October 28, 2009 6:56 PM. The previous post in this blog was (Rail)road to ruin. The next post in this blog is Cheating ref throws serious grenades at NBA. Many more can be found on the main index page or by looking through the archives.

Links

Law and Taxation
How Appealing
Bag and Baggage
TaxProf Blog
Mauled Again
A Taxing Matter
TaxVox
Tax.com
Josh Marquis
Native America, Discovered and Conquered
The Yin Blog
OrCon Law
Ernie the Attorney
Conglomerate
Above the Law
The Volokh Conspiracy
Going Concern
Wealth Strategies Journal
Jim Hamilton's World of Securities Regulation
myCorporateResource.com
World of Work
The Faculty Lounge
Lowering the Bar

Hap'nin' Guys
Tony Pierce
Parkway Rest Stop
Utterly Boring.com
Dwight Jaynes
Bob Borden
Dingleberry Gazette
The Red Electric
Iced Borscht
Positively Glorious
The Rural Bus Route
Another Blogger
OregonGuy
The World of Today
Izzle Pfaff
Jeremy Blachman
Dean's Rhetorical Flourish
Straight White Guy
Lost in the Details
Penultimate Life
HinesSight
Onfocus
AntSaint
Jalpuna
MTPolitics
Rise Above
Beerdrinker.org
As Time Goes By
Dave Wagner
Jeff Selis
Alas, a Blog
Whitman Boys
Misterblue
Two Pennies
Scott Hendison
Sansego
The View Through the Windshield
Mikeyman's Computer Treehouse
Appliance Blog
The Bleat
Rosenblog

Hap'nin' Gals
My Whim is Law
Lelo in Nopo
Attorney at Large
Linda Kruschke
The Non-Consumer Advocate
10 Steps to Finding Your Happy Place
A Pig of Success
Attorney at Large
Margaret and Helen
Kimberlee Jaynes
Cornelia Seigneur
Evidently
And Sew It Goes
Mile 73
Rainy Day Thoughts
That Black Girl
Posie Gets Cozy
{AE}
Cat Eyes
Kerianne
Melissa Lion
Rhi in Pink
Althouse
GirlHacker
Ragwaters, Bitters, and Blue Ruin
Heather Bea
Gina Rau
Chantel Williams
Frytopia
I Count to 4 (Nth of Pril)
Rose City Journal
Ready or Not
Lao Ocean Girl
Type Like the Wind

Portland and Oregon
Isaac Laquedem
StumptownBlogger
Rantings of a [Censored] Bus Driver
Jeff Mapes
Another Portland Blog
The Portlander
Gail Achterman
South Waterfront
Amanda Fritz
O City Hall Reporters
Guilty Carnivore
Old Town by Larry Norton
The Alaunt
Bend Blogs
Lost Oregon
Cafe Unknown
Tin Zeroes
David's Oregon Picayune
Mark Nelsen's Weather Blog
Travel Oregon Blog
Portland Housing Blog
Portland Daily Photo
Portland Building Ads
Portland Food and Drink.com
Dave Knows Portland
Idaho's Portugal
Alameda Old House History
MLK in Motion
LoveSalem

Retired from Blogging
Various Observations...
The Daily E-Mail
Saving James
Portland Freelancer
Furious Nads (b!X)
The Grich
Kevin Allman
AboutItAll - Oregon
Worldwide Pablo
Tales from the Stump
This Stony Planet
1221 SW 4th
Twisty
I am a Fish
Here Today
What If...?
Superinky Fixations
Pinktalk
Mellow-Drama

Wonderfully Wacky
Dave Barry
Borowitz Report
Blort
Stuff White People Like
Probably Bad News
The Dullest Blog in the World
Worst of the Web
The Ultimate Insult
Scrabo's Mad World
Lancow's E-mail

Valuable Time-Wasters
My Gallery of Jacks
Litterbox, On the Prowl
Litterbox, Bag of Bones
Litterbox, Scratch
Maukie
Ride That Donkey
Singin' Horses
Rally Monkey
Simon Swears
Strong Bad's E-mail

Oregon News
KGW-TV
The Oregonian
Portland Tribune
KOIN
Willamette Week
KATU
The Sentinel
Southeast Examiner
Northwest Examiner
Sellwood Bee
Mid-County Memo
Vancouver Voice
Eugene Register-Guard
OPB
Topix.net - Portland
Salem Statesman-Journal
Oregon Capitol News
Portland Business Journal
Daily Journal of Commerce
Oregon Business
KPTV
Portland Info Net
McMinnville News Register
Lake Oswego Review
The Daily Astorian
Bend Bulletin
Corvallis Gazette-Times
Roseburg News-Review
Medford Mail-Tribune
Ashland Daily Tidings
Newport News-Times
Albany Democrat-Herald
The Eugene Weekly
Portland IndyMedia
The Columbian

Music-Related
The Beatles
Bruce Springsteen
Seal
Sting
Joni Mitchell
Ella Fitzgerald
Steve Earle
Joe Ely
Stevie Wonder
Lou Rawls

E-mail, Feeds, 'n' Stuff

Wednesday, October 28, 2009

More official lies about Portland population growth

The City of Portland has passed its exciting climate change plan -- don't eat meat, don't drive, etc. It's all pretty harmless, but it's distressing that the plan appears to be based on faked population projections. And of course, the sheep that the O sends out to cover it goes right along with the fakery:

In Portland in 2050, the population will be almost double what it is today.... By 2030, 60 percent of Portland's 1 million people will be driving electric vehicles, said Susan Anderson, director of Portland's Bureau of Planning and Sustainability.
The City of Portland population is currently about 586,000. It is growing at an annual rate of less than 1.4%. At that rate, in 2030 the population will not be 1 million. It will be around 785,000. And in 2050, the population will not be "almost double" what it is today. It will be around 1,036,000, which is about a 77 percent increase.

And gee whiz, folks, in 500 years the population will be a zillion! So we should stop eating now?

Comments (21)

I think the official projections assume the rate of population growth will increase as more young creatives flock to our sustainable city, and presumably procreate with other young creatives. As density increases more and more in the neighborhoods, our city's sustainable magnetism will draw them at an ever increasing rate. No shyte, that's the assumption (boiled down to simplest terms).

Maybe he was discussing the portland MSA.

Maybe. Certainly she wasn't.

Pretty funny that you send in your troll points from an OHSU computer -- 137.53.249.129.

"It's all pretty harmless"

C'mon people - Harmless?

How does a politician fix global warming? With more laws and txes.

"I think the official projections assume the rate of population growth will increase"

I think they assume a helluva lot, espceially when they have no clue how to increase jobs. All the growth has been outside of Portland where employers are located.

the rate of population growth will increase as more young creatives flock to our sustainable city, and presumably procreate with other young creatives.

As the city's financial messes have to be paid off, there will be no place for these folks to work, and city handouts to keep them busy will dry up. Anything's possible, I suppose. An aerial tram could bring 10,000 high-tech jobs to Portland. Monkeys could fly out of my butt.

Just this morning the AP was chatting about census data regarding the relocation preferences of the newly educated:
http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/us_census_smart_cities

Notice that our city is mentioned but nothing more. Nothing about the absence of jobs in our perpetually slender economy. Perhaps more recent data will indicate a rapid reversal of the recent in-migration?

By 2030, 60 percent of Portland's 1 million people will be driving electric vehicles, said Susan Anderson, director of Portland's Bureau of Planning and Sustainability.

It's this kind of vacuous, data-free assertion that helps to make government-by-statistics laughable.

As of last year, local carbon emissions were 19 percent below what they were per person in 1990. But if you count overall emissions from Portland's larger population now, the actual emission reduction has been 1 percent. The 1 percent compares to a 14 percent increase in total emissions nationally over the same period.

This is actually almost entirely wrong, and very misleading. emissions are UP, significantly.

The number of bicyclists crossing bridges has increased five-fold.

Which has no bearing on anything, really. The number of cars crossing the railroad bridge over the Columbia is zero. useful stat? No.

Bus ridership has doubled (since 1990).
False. In fact, it fell slightly. For one curious fact, note that Trimet claims "double ridership", but yet auto ownership and cars on the road in Portland are up *dramatically*.

And in the past year, transit ridership continues to fall:
http://www.oregonlive.com/news/index.ssf/2009/08/trimet_blames_recession_gas_pr.html


In 1993, Portland was the nation's first city to adopt a carbon emissions reduction plan. Eight years later, Multnomah County joined the city's efforts.

Which has had absolutely zero effect on carbon emissions.

Portland and Multnomah County's Climate Action Plan relies on local residents, businesses and governments to reach aggressive energy efficiency and waste- and consumption-reduction goals. At the same time, local leaders hope to capitalize on the need to curb global warming by making Portland a hub for new businesses that will tackle the problem.

Ah yes, the old "we'll shrink our consumption while both doubling our population and increasing the amount of development and corporations moving here" strategy.

At first glance, it seems impossible to make the city more livable for twice as many people while doing things such as reducing energy use and miles driven.

Especially when you almost double the automobile carrying capacity of the I-5 bridge, and widen parts of almost every highway in the tri-county area.

Angus Duncan chair of Oregon's Global Warming Commission, praised the city and county plan. "We are in the process of changing a society that was built over the past 200 years on the basis of fossil fuels," he said.

Then you'll love Mayor Facebook's vocal plans to build a much bigger, wider, many-landed Columbia River bridge, Angus. It should help with the transition.

Sorry, City Council, Jane Jacobs was wrong.

This city's governance stinks if you are not part of one of the special groups making money off these "green" scam activities. One part of the plan is pretty laughable. Something about certain minorites not taking advantage of public transportation options or bicycles, and instead choosing to drive their cars. I guess maybe the city and its green nazis could enslave the old and disadvantage, and make them ride bicycles.

Cityhall is a very scarey green color these days, and it's not just a Mayor who has a hard time with personal finance let alone city finance. Is it any wonder Portland is losing jobs at a higher rate than other parts of the state.

"Sorry, City Council, Jane Jacobs was wrong."

Ecohuman (sorry dude, but I have to capitalize your name because I'm starting a sentence): Have you ever read Jane Jacobs? Where did that jibe come from?

A whole lot of nonsense has been perpetrated in Jane Jacobs' name, as is the case with Jesus, Marx and Ronald Reagan.

Well, here's one way to take care of a million of us:

http://www.inhabitat.com/2007/08/20/self-contained-tokyo-highrise-eco-city-x-seed-4000/#

Ssshhhhhh! Don't let Sam see this!

They could sell naming rights to Cialis.

All these predictions of the future remind me of the tomorrow promised to those of us who grew up in the 50s and the 60s. Maybe that's why some of us are a little disappointed in having to go back to biking before first owning a flying car. A little off topic, but I found this and it's just too much fun not to share:

http://davidszondy.com/future/futurepast.htm

Take some time to enjoy this site. It's futurific!

Ron Tonkin for Mayor! Quit your honkin and come to Tonkin! :)

Ecohuman (sorry dude, but I have to capitalize your name because I'm starting a sentence): Have you ever read Jane Jacobs?

I have. I've even met her. Nice lady.

Excuse my naïveté ... It seems the simplest and least expensive way to reduce Portland's GHG emissions is to move to, say, Happy Valley.

"By 2030, 60 percent of Portland's 1 million people will be driving electric vehicles, said Susan Anderson, director of Portland's Bureau of Planning and Sustainability."

I can claim one thing with 100% certainty: no one has any idea what this place will look like in 2030. You sounds ridiculous even making a statement like this.

Homer Simpson: Aw, people can come up with statistics to prove anything. 14% of all people know that.

While Larabee's article reported the facts, I was also there and had a little bit of a different take.

http://tinyurl.com/ylpaeys

The atmosphere was quite surreal, to say the least.

If we start eating the young creatives now , we can get the strength to bike every where in our geriatric three wheel bikes ,[where is my dammm flying car]

Thanks, Brian, for documenting yet another injudicious public utterance by County Commissioner Cogen:


The first witness, Multnomah County Commissioner Jeff Cogen, testified for the plan as a “really important project.” He went on to say that we need to be “acting on our values to confront a global problem.”

Cogen introduced a fine non sequitor by noticing that since “South Carolina doesn't address [the global warming problem],” it is in the interest of Portlanders to begin “building a brand for the region.” He emphasized that the City has been “an amazing leader for years” in the green movement.

As county commissioner, Cogen interpreted his mandate to “protect the public” and since climate change is “a public health disaster,” it falls under the county's responsibility as it “protects vulnerable people.”

Cogen then queried rhetorically, “what does it matter?” He concluded that “local action...tangibly empowers others” and will help "insure prosperity for the 21st Century."

Even after the debt implosion, well educated young creatives may come here to sew their wild oats and spawn, but once they do, they'll want those kids in decent schools and eating something better than ramen noodles. Portland won't have a chance until we fix our schools and get some jobs better than casual hot dog seller for Little Lord Paulson.

It should be noted here -- as Brian has in his account -- that Dan Saltzman was AWOL for yet another City Council meeting.

Sponsors





We accept advertising through Blogads. If you're interested, click the "Advertise here" link above, or go here to place your ad through Blogads. For assistance, e-mail me here; I'd be glad to help. Reach lots of viewers -- we're up to about 3,800 unique visits a day, and more than 61,000 page views a week (as of November 4). Our rates are dirt cheap for the exposure you'll get!

As a lawyer/blogger, I get
to be a member of:


In Vino Veritas

Quinta das Amoras, Vinho Tinto 2009
Mauro Molino, Barbera d'Alba 2009
Garda Chiaretto Rose
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Vineyard 10 White
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Pinot Gris, Columbia Valley 2009
L'Hortus, Rose de Saignee 2010
Maculan, Pino & Toi 2008
McKinley Springs, Bombing Range Red 2008
Trader Joe's Pinot Gris 2009
Montes Alpha, Cabernet 2007
Gran Sasso, Sangiovese, Terre di Chieti 2009
Garda, Classico Chiaretto Rose
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1999
Picos del Montgo, Tempranillo 2008
Chateau de Montmirail, Vacqueyras 2008
La Granja 360, Syrah 2009
Montgras, Carmenere Reserva 2009
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Cabernet 2008
Kirkland, Pinot Grigio 2010
Trader Joe's Coastal Syrah 2009
Columbia Crest, Horse Heaven Hills Merlot 2008
Trader Joe's Coastal Chardonnay 2009
Vieux Papes Red
Domaine de l'Aujardiere, Chardonnay 2009
Santa Rita, Cabernet, Medalla Real 2007
Penfold's, Koonunga Hill Shiraz Cabernet 2008
Guild, Red, Lot #02 2008
Dievole, Dievolino Sangiovese 2008
Laforet, Burgogne Chardonnay 2009
Columbia Winery, Merlot 2007
Bonterra, Cabernet 2008
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2009
Maquis Lien 2006
Scott Paul, Pinot Noir, Le Paulee 2007
Cameron, Chardonnay
B.R. Cohn, Cabernet, Silver Label 2006
Graffigna, Cabernet 2005
Palo Alto, Reserve Red 2008
Menguante, Garnacha 2008
Lange, Pinot Gris 2009
Felsina Berardenga, Vin Santo 1997
Anne Amie, Pinot Gris 2009
McKinley Springs, Bombing Ramge Red 2007
Vieux Papes Red
Dionysius Chardonnay 2009
Haden Fig, Pinot Noir 2009
Vega Montan, Mencia 2008
Chateau la Vernede, Coteaux du Languedoc 2007
Mount Defiance, Hellfire (White) 2008
Root: 1, Cabernet 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines Pinot Grigio 2009
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 White, 2008
Columbia Crest, Two Vines, Vineyard 10 Rose, 2007
Abacela, Grenache Rose 2009
Avia Cabernet 2004
Lemelson Pinot Noir, Thea's Selection 2007
Chateau de la Roulerie, Rose d'Anjou 2009
Casal Garcia, Vinho Verde Rose
La Ferme Julien, Rose 2008
Cana's Feast, Bricco Red, 2006
Hogue, Genesis Merlot, 2008
Owen Roe, Sharecropper's Cabernet, 2008
Kim Crawford, Unoaked Chardonnay 2008
J. Scott, Pinot Noir 2008
Edmunds St. John, White, Heart of Gold 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2006
Stevenot, Cabernet, Sierra Foothills, "Stanford" 2000
Portuga, Vinho Rose 2009
Taylor Fladgate, First Estate Reserve Porto
Franciscan, Cabernet, Napa 2006
Chaparral de Vega Sindoa, Garnacha 2008
Quinta da Aveleda, Vinho Verde 2008
St. Francis, Chardonnay Sonoma 2008
E. Guigal, Cotes du Rhone Blanc, 2007
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Noir 2008
St. Innocent, Pinot Noir 2006
Jigsaw, Pinot Noir 2007
Chateau Ste. Michelle, Merlot, Indian Wells 2007
Charles Shaw, Chardonnay 2008
Edmunds St. John, Bone-Jolly, Gamay Rosé 2009
Cameron, Willamette Valley Chardonnay
Il Valore, Sangiovese, Giovane, Puglia 2008
Duck Pond, Chardonnay, Wahluke Slope 2007
Kim Crawford, Marlborough Pinot Noir 2008
Domaine du Pesquier, Cotes du Rhone 2005
Cantina Zaccagnini, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo 2006
Domaine Matrot, Chardonnay, Bourgogne 2007
David Hill, Oregon Sparkling Wine, Brut
Chandler Reach, Monte Regalo 2006
Elk Cove, Pinot Gris 2008
Kirkland, Columbia Valley Merlot 2008
D'Aragon, Old Vine Garnacha 2008
Columbia Crest, Walter Clore Private Reserve 2005
Pavin & Riley, Merlot 2006
David Hill, Estate Pinot Noir, Barrel Select 2006
Castle Rock, Paso Robles Cabernet 2006
Magnificent, Cabernet, Steak House 2008
Conundrum 2008
Beaulieu, Cabernet, Rutherford 1998
Saint Cosme, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
La Granja, Tempranillo 360, 2008
Santa Rita, Mendalla Real Cabernet 2006
Columbia Crest, Grand Estates Merlot 2006
Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone 2007
Collegiata, Montepulciano d'Abruzzo
Troon, Druid's Fluid 2008
La Granja, Tempranillo 2008
Monte Antico, Toscana 2006
Vieux Papes, Blanc de Blancs

The Occasional Book

Niccolò Machiavelli - The Prince
Harper Lee - To Kill a Mockingbird
Emma McLaughlin & Nicola Kraus - The Nanny Diaries
Brian Selznick - The Invention of Hugo Cabret
Sharon Creech - Walk Two Moons
Keith Richards - Life
F. Sionil Jose - Dusk
Natalie Babbitt - Tuck Everlasting
Justin Halpern - S#*t My Dad Says
Mark Herrmann - The Curmudgeon's Guide to Practicing Law
Barry Glassner - The Gospel of Food
Phil Stanford - The Peyton-Allan Files
Jesse Katz - The Opposite Field
Evelyn Waugh - Brideshead Revisited
J.K. Rowling - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone
David Sedaris - Holidays on Ice
Donald Miller - A Million Miles in a Thousand Years
Mitch Albom - Have a Little Faith
C.S. Lewis - The Magician's Nephew
F. Scott Fitzgerald - The Great Gatsby
William Shakespeare - A Midsummer Night's Dream
Ivan Doig - Bucking the Sun
Penda Diakité - I Lost My Tooth in Africa
Grace Lin - The Year of the Rat
Oscar Hijuelos - Mr. Ives' Christmas
Madeline L'Engle - A Wrinkle in Time
Steven Hart - The Last Three Miles
David Sedaris - Me Talk Pretty One Day
Karen Armstrong - The Spiral Staircase
Charles Larson - The Portland Murders
Adrian Wojnarowski - The Miracle of St. Anthony
William H. Colby - Long Goodbye
Steven D. Stark - Meet the Beatles
Phil Stanford - Portland Confidential
Rick Moody - Garden State
Jonathan Schwartz - All in Good Time
David Sedaris - Dress Your Family in Corduroy and Denim
Anthony Holden - Big Deal
Robert J. Spitzer - The Spirit of Leadership
James McManus - Positively Fifth Street
Jeff Noon - Vurt

Road Work

Miles run year to date: 26
At this date last year: 15
Total run in 2011: 113
In 2010: 125
In 2009: 67
In 2008: 28
In 2007: 113
In 2006: 100
In 2005: 149
In 2004: 204
In 2003: 269
Clicky Web Analytics